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One of the top prediction market platforms in the nation has partnered with a cryptocurrency-focused investment firm to provide a unique research service based on real-time crowd-driven data.
In order to provide a research product focused on prediction market data, ProCap Financial, led by cryptocurrency entrepreneur Anthony Pompliano, revealed on Tuesday that it has partnered with Kalshi, a regulated prediction market exchange.
The service will generate analysis on stock trends, investment ideas, and general economic conditions by combining ProCap’s artificial intelligence tools with Kalshi’s data flow.
Prior to this, Kalshi has never given its data to a financial research firm that charges users for access.
Due in large part to the 2024 U.S. presidential election, which caused a dramatic increase in trading volumes and users, prediction markets have evolved from a little-known area of finance to a frequently used instrument.
People purchase and sell contracts linked to the results of upcoming events on these platforms.
Kalshi’s contracts specify an event, potential outcomes, the compensation for each outcome, and the contract’s expiration date.
Proponents contend that compared to conventional opinion polls, prices on these markets more accurately represent public expectations.
How the research product works
The new product will sit inside ProCap’s existing research platform, ProCap Insights.
That platform uses AI tools to sift through large amounts of data, stress-test findings through automated debate between AI systems, and produce written research reports.
Under the new arrangement, ProCap Insights will publish reports covering individual prediction markets, platform-wide trends, data-based trading strategies, contracts that appear mispriced, and reports built directly from Kalshi’s data.
“Kalshi Research’s prediction market data paired with our AI agents is a powerful combination,” said Anthony Pompliano, Chairman and CEO of ProCap Financial. “Independent investors have never had access to a research engine like this. By combining real-time market signals with AI-driven analysis, we’ll deliver sharper insights to help investors make smarter decisions in the growing industry of prediction markets.”
One of the features that sets prediction markets apart from conventional investing is their precision.
Instead of shifting a portfolio around to prepare for a possible recession, a trader can bet directly on whether a recession happens.
The same logic applies to specific pieces of corporate data.
A trader can take a position on Tesla’s vehicle delivery numbers without buying the whole stock and absorbing the full risk of an earnings report.
“Prediction markets turn uncertainty about real-world events into actionable signals,” said Tarek Mansour, co-founder and CEO of Kalshi. “We’re partnering with ProCap Financial to bring wisdom-of-the-crowds intelligence directly to financial research, so both retail and institutional investors can benefit from this data and analysis.”
Research from Kalshi found that its markets outperformed Wall Street consensus forecasts by 40% across various timeframes and conditions, and matched or beat analyst forecasts on 85% of inflation data releases a full week before the numbers came out.
A shifting regulatory landscape for prediction markets
Additionally, the regulatory landscape has been changing in these markets’ favor.
The Commodity Futures Trading Commission released guidelines to regulated exchanges on March 12, 2026, reminding businesses of their current legal obligations while promoting new event contracts.
As a first step toward a comprehensive regulatory framework for prediction markets, the CFTC released a formal notice requesting public input four days later, on March 16.
In KalshiEX LLC v. Flaherty, a federal appeals court ruled on April 6, 2026, that federal law supersedes New Jersey’s gaming regulations for Kalshi’s sports contracts.
David Miller, the CFTC’s new enforcement chief, listed insider trading, market manipulation, and retail fraud as the agency’s top priorities.
He also introduced a strategy that encourages businesses to promptly report issues and take corrective action.
Kalshi currently has open markets running on where the S&P 500 will close today, which direction SPY moves on April 21, and a range of short-term economic and political questions, the kind of live data that ProCap’s tools will now turn into research for subscribers.
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