Bitcoin: Defying Past Patterns with Its Recent Market Moves

Bitcoin grabbed headlines as it briefly crossed the $90,000 threshold, illustrating a departure from traditional bear market behaviors. Instead of wild fluctuations, Bitcoin is showcasing a steady upward trend, maintaining long-term technical support and dampening fears of steep declines. There’s a growing sentiment that Bitcoin is breaking away from conventional patterns seen in previous bear market phases.

Are Traditional Bear Market Trends Becoming Irrelevant?

In past bear markets, such as those in 2014, 2018, and 2022, Bitcoin’s trajectory was typically marked by drops below its 100-week moving averages, triggering sharp falls between 40% to 55%. These declines signified severe phases characterized by the market clearing out weaker participants.

However, the final week of 2025 told a different story. By closing above historical loss levels and avoiding a feared bearish cross, Bitcoin resisted downward momentum, signaling a rejection of expected declines. Many observers note that this technical resilience might suggest strong underlying interest and a divergence from past patterns.

What Does This Mean for Bitcoin’s Short-Term Prospects?

A significant price retreat of 40% would necessitate Bitcoin losing key support levels sequentially. Currently, Bitcoin remains above its 100-week averages, indicating stability and lacks the permanent prices often seen in past corrective phases.

Short-term momentum indicators are advising caution. Recently, Bitcoin’s break from a symmetric triangle pattern on the four-hour chart saw prices soar above $90,500. However, with RSI and Stochastic RSI in overbought conditions, there’s potential for a retreat below the $90,000 mark, with $89,500 identified as a demand region.

Should Bitcoin hold above its former descending trendline and maintain its position above $90,500, potential growth to between $93,000 and $93,650 could be approaching, underpinning a more robust technical setup for 2026.

“The lack of a breakdown in recent patterns suggests a shift in market dynamics,” a spokesperson from the analysis team stated.

– Bitcoin’s resilience above key technical support levels has diminished fears of larger downturns.
– Momentum indicators reveal potential overbought conditions, offering a cautious outlook.
– Holding key price levels may pave the way for significant gains as 2026 approaches.

With data from CryptoAppsy showing Bitcoin trading at $89,468, reflecting a 2.13% rise over the past 24 hours, Bitcoin seems to be navigating a path less influenced by historic patterns, paving the way for a potentially new narrative.